2008 Market Survey Forecast

TORONTO, December 17, 2007 – After experiencing an exceptional year characterized by strong average house price appreciation and record breaking unit sales, the momentum from 2007 is anticipated to carry over and position Canada’s real estate market for steady, yet moderate growth in 2008, according to the Royal LePage 2008 Market Survey Forecast released today.

Nationally, average house prices are forecast to rise by 3.5 per cent to $317,288 in 2008, while transactions are projected to fall slightly from this year’s record high unit sales to 500,927 (–4.0 %) unit sales in 2008. Despite the year-over-year reduction in unit sales, the number of homes trading hands in 2008 is expected to remain higher than in all years prior to 2007.

“Canada’s housing market in 2008 should continue to thrive on a balanced diet of strong economic fundamentals, including high levels of employment, resilient consumer confidence, modest levels of inflation and the relatively low cost of borrowing money,” said Phil Soper, president and chief executive of Royal LePage Real Estate Services. “Canada is currently enjoying one of the longest housing market expansions in history; however, as we move into 2008 it is anticipated that slowly eroding affordability will cause demand to ease, allowing the market to move toward balanced conditions, with lower levels of price appreciation, and fewer homes trading hands.”

Ontario and Quebec markets are anticipated to maintain their relative strength and vibrancy throughout next year, weathering stormy financial markets and adjusting well to the high value of the Canadian dollar. The services based industries that have become the backbone of the Toronto and Montreal economies have tolerated the rise of Canada’s dollar to parity very well, despite increasingly price competitive offering from overseas markets.

From coast-to-coast, the homebuyer demographic is anticipated to swell with first-time purchasers, as many flock to take advantage of recently reduced lending rates, longer amortization periods and the resultant manageable mortgage payments.

Added Soper: “The year ahead presents opportunities for those people who have shied away from the frenetic real estate market of the past few years, with its bidding wars and unconditional offers; while prices should continue to rise, they are expected to do so at a more reasonable pace. Canada’s economy is strong, and the desire for home ownership remains a vibrant and attainable goal – real estate remains a solid long term investment.”

Source: Royal LePage